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S-8 ACCESS CONTROL TRENDS AND TECHNOLOGY 2016 JULY/AUGUST A recent television pro- gram presented a seg- ment on driverless cars. It showed cars cruising down the highway and safely maneuvering through traffic with no physical steering wheel, gas pedal or brake pedal contact by a human passenger. Car manufactur- ers are said to have plans in the near future to produce fleets of identical cars which will be ready and available on demand. The general public may no longer own cars but simply call for a driverless car whenever a need for travel arises. In the same broad- cast, a commentator interviewed T V host Jay Leno who compared cars of today with snowmobiles. According to Leno, the few remaining cars as we now know them will soon only be used during short periods of time and treated as a recreational item instead of a daily necessity. Driverless vehicle systems and parking lots full of identical cars wait- ing on demand are prime examples of disruptive technology which will affect a significant part of the world's popula- tion. Occupations such as body and fender repair, insurance companies, car dealers and even locksmiths could all be affected. If all driverless cars can be summoned by a cell phone call, then what need are there for individual car keys or push button fobs? Modern examples of disruptive tech- nology essentially began in the late 1800's with inventions such as electric lights, gasoline engines, wireless radio waves and mass production. Each one of these advancements caused problems for existing occupations but also spawned many new opportunities by moving established businesses to change the type of goods or services they offered. Surely the kerosene lan- tern industry was affected when elec- tric lights took over the market For most of the twentieth century, the lock industry was unaffected by new technologies. Linus Yale famously invented a compact pin tumbler lock system in 1865 and remnants of that locking system still remain in use today. Persons involved in the lock- smith business during most of the twentieth century enjoyed a peace- ful and profitable business climate. Most lock inventions, such as key-in- knob locksets, high-security locks, or double-sided car keys constituted an improvement in existing lock designs rather than a game changer. Almost every security product sold and serviced by locksmiths during the twentieth century was mechanical in nature. When a security product failed, a locksmith was the logical person to call. Mechanical products are relatively easy to disassemble and technicians with a mechanical aptitude and an ample amount of spe- cialized training enjoyed a profitable career as a locksmith. The shiing lock technology landscape has brought disruption to the industry by Gale Johnson Opportunity Disruption brings